Enhancing Strategic Planning with Massive Scenario Generation: Theory and Experiments (Technical Report (RAND))

Extends research on model-based exploratory analysis for strategic planning with massive scenario generation (MSG) , a technique that combines virtues of human-intensive and model-intensive exploration of the possibility space. Metrics are identified for measuring the virtues of a particular approach to MSG, and two experiments using MSG are described, one starting with a reasonable but untested analytical model, the other starting without a model but with a list of distinguishing conditions.